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Supply
Oil prices rose over 2% Friday, but closed July with their second straight monthly loss.
In mid-morning trading today, WTI futures were down 4.6% at $94.10/bbl, Brent was down 3.5% at $100.30/bbl, and U.S. natural gas was down 1.1% at $8.14/MMBtu.
U.S. drillers added crude rigs last month for a record 23 months in a row, indicating more supply ahead.
U.S. crude production fell in May to an average of 11.60 million bpd, the latest data shows, about 1.25 million bpd below pre-COVID levels.
U.S. shale drillers are expected to post record second-quarter profits in coming days, reversing nearly a decade of debt-fueled losses.
The latest data shows OPEC+ underproduced from planned targets at a clip of 2.84 million bpd in June.
European short-term power prices surged to the highest level on record in July and are set to rise even more this month, particularly in Germany and France.
Italy’s Eni quadrupled its net profit year over year to $3.87 billion in the second quarter, matching similar gains at Norway’s Equinor and Spain’s Repsol.
Mexico declared a drought in the northern state of Nuevo Leon, home to the nation’s industrial capital, a matter of national security on Friday.
Northern California’s McKinney Fire surged to over 52,000 acres over the weekend, quickly becoming the state’s largest blaze of the year.
Around 5,000 train drivers across a quarter of Britain’s rail network went on strike Saturday, the second major industrial action on the nation’s rail network this week.
After receiving a new contract offer, over 2,500 Boeing workers in the St. Louis area canceled a strike that was set to begin today.
The American Trucking Associations’ for-hire truck tonnage index hit 120.1 in June, up 2.7% from May to the highest level since August 2019.
The U.S. Transportation Department has launched a safety investigation of TuSimple, a maker of autonomous driving systems for trucks, after a truck using its software veered off the highway and into a cement barrier.
Japan’s Nippon Denkai will build a $150 million plant in the U.S. to make copper foils for electric vehicle batteries.
Today is the deadline for states to tell the federal government how they will build electric vehicle charging infrastructure with a share of over $5 billion from last year’s infrastructure package.
India, the world’s biggest edible oil importer, will receive between 50,000 and 60,000 tons of sunflower oil from Ukraine in September, ending a five-month hold caused by Russia’s invasion.
Domestic Markets
The U.S. reported 125,355 new COVID-19 infections and 373 virus fatalities Sunday.
The U.S. president returned to isolation over the weekend after testing positive for COVID-19 in a “rebound” case just days after reporting negative.
Experts are warning individuals who are at high-risk for COVID-19 not to wait to get a next-generation vaccine dose in the fall if they have yet to receive their second booster vaccine, saying that current shots continue to offer protection against hospitalization for severe disease and death.
At least 358 companies have either delayed or canceled financing plans this year, accounting for more than a combined $254 billion in deals, as surging inflation and ongoing energy shortages continue to rattle the global economy.
American personal consumption expenditures — the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge — rose 6.8% in June, the biggest 12-month move since 1982.
U.S. consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of economic activity, grew at a healthy 1.1% rate in June, according to the federal government:
The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index rose to 51.5 in July from a record-low 50 in June:
U.S. labor costs rose 1.3% in the second quarter as a tight job market continued to boost wage growth, while real wages declined 3.1% due to inflation.
Credit card balances for people aged 25 and younger rose by 30% in the second quarter from a year earlier, as surging inflation causes younger Americans to accrue more debt.
In the latest news from second-quarter earnings season:
Strong sales of AstraZeneca’s COVID-19 antiviral therapy led the firm to boost its revenue forecast for 2022.
Agricultural and construction machine maker CNH Industrial beat estimates with a 14% rise in operating profit.
Leading copper producer Codelco saw profit drop 35% to $2.4 billion in the first half, dragged down by lower production and higher costs.
Procter & Gamble saw net sales rise 3% as higher pricing offset a slip in volume. The firm’s stock fell after it said rising transport and commodity costs would dent forward sales growth.
Walmart will start selling refurbished items made by Apple, Samsung and Whirlpool to help consumers cope with surging prices for new electronics amid surging inflation.
International Markets
Japan posted a record 233,094 COVID-19 cases last Thursday, putting pressure on the nation’s hospitals and disrupting some company operations.
One in every 12 Australian hospital beds is filled by someone with COVID-19 as the nation continues to post record virus fatalities.
COVID-19 infections are beginning to drop from recent highs in the U.K.
Surprise economic growth in Spain, France and Italy led the euro zone economy to stronger-than-expected growth of 0.7% in the second quarter. Germany’s economy, the euro zone’s largest, was flat.
Canada’s economy likely grew at an annual rate of 4.6% in the second quarter, leading economists to expect another big interest-rate hike in September.
Mexico’s economy expanded 1% in the second quarter, its third consecutive quarter of growth, beating forecasts. However, manufacturing activity contracted in July.
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